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How a second choice can change the Best Picture race
Bong Joon-ho at the Busan Film Festival, September 23, 2025.
Image: Bong Joon Ho at the Busan Film Festival in 2025.jpg
Photo: Jay Dixit · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Resized and cropped for display.
Shortlisted is not nominated: the award-season ladder
E. Chai Vasarhelyi and Jimmy Chin at Sundance in January 2015, where Meru won the U.S. Documentary Audience Award.
Image: E. Chai Vasarhelyi and Jimmy Chin at Sundance 2015.jpg
Photo: PunkToad · CC BY 2.0 · Resized and cropped for display.
Good editing is not a race to the next cut
A crew member marks a clapperboard during an outdoor film shoot.
Photo: 925 Studio · Unsplash License
International Feature has a new doorway. Read the sign carefully.
Blue-white projector beams above rows of red cinema seats in a dark auditorium.
Photo: Rafi Mohammed · Unsplash License
The Emmy calendar trap: which season are we talking about?
Jeremy Allen White at the New York Film Festival for Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere, September 28, 2025.
Image: Jeremy Allen White Springsteen-34.jpg
Photo: Bryan Berlin · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Resized and cropped for display.
The Bear won directing. Hacks won comedy. Both results make sense.
Jean Smart speaking on the Legion panel at San Diego Comic-Con, July 22, 2018.
Image: Jean Smart (42917374195).jpg
Photo: Gage Skidmore · CC BY-SA 2.0 · Resized and cropped for display.
Six episodes do not automatically make a limited series
Kate Winslet at a Goodbye June screening at Film at Lincoln Center, December 9, 2025.
Image: KateWinslet.jpg
Photo: Colleen Sturtevant · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Resized and cropped for display.
Flowers, What Was I Made For? and Midnights won different arguments
Miley Cyrus performing at Primavera Sound on May 31, 2019.
Image: Miley Cyrus Primavera19 -223 (48986108876).jpg
Photo: Raph_PH · CC BY 2.0 · Resized and cropped for display.
That Grammy FYC graphic is an invitation, not a nomination
A studio microphone on a boom arm against a deep blue background.
Photo: Mikey Rogers · Unsplash License
A campaign is getting louder. Is its support actually growing?
An outdoor concert audience faces a stage lit with red spotlights at dusk.
Photo: Nils Schirmer · Unsplash License
Twelve nominations, three nominations: which number should change a prediction?
Black-and-white photograph of a hand writing notes in an open notebook.
Photo: nedimshoots · Unsplash License
Eight out of ten sounds convincing. Show me the other years.
An open spiral notebook and pen on a wooden desk beside a laptop.
Photo: Gabriel Cox · Unsplash License
The music stayed with you. Which Oscar achievement are you hearing?
Ludwig Göransson at the New York premiere of The Odyssey, July 14, 2026.
Image: LudwigGoransson-byPhilipRomano.jpg
Photo: PhilipRomano · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Resized for web display; displayed with responsive cropping.
A costume can tell you who has power before anyone speaks
Ruth E. Carter at a Sinners Q&A in Los Angeles, November 22, 2025.
Image: Ruth E. Carter - Sinners.jpg
Photo: Kevin Paul · CC BY 4.0 · Resized for web display; displayed with responsive cropping.
The book changed on screen. Start with what the change achieves.
Sarah Polley at a Stories We Tell event during the 2012 Toronto International Film Festival.
Image: Sarah Polley - Stories We Tell (7954235474).jpg
Photo: Ross from hamilton on, Canada · CC BY 2.0 · Resized for web display; displayed with responsive cropping.
A half-hour is a duration, not a complete definition of comedy
Quinta Brunson speaking about Abbott Elementary at San Diego Comic-Con in 2025.
Image: Quinta Brunson at 2025 San Diego Comic-Con for Abbott Elementary.jpg
Photo: Mandilea16 · CC BY 4.0 · Resized for web display; displayed with responsive cropping.
A guest performance can carry an episode
Nick Offerman and Brett Haley at the Hearts Beat Loud premiere during the 2018 Montclair Film Festival.
Image: Nick Offerman and Brett Haley (28061320028).jpg
Photo: Montclair Film · CC BY 2.0 · Resized for web display; displayed with responsive cropping.
Animation is more than a beautiful still
Maya Rudolph at an Up All Night cast event at the Paley Center in 2012.
Image: Maya Rudolph.jpg
Photo: MingleMediaTVNetwork · CC BY-SA 2.0 · Resized for web display; displayed with responsive cropping.
Victoria Monét was new to the winner's podium, not new to the work
Victoria Monét performing on the Dangerous Woman Tour on February 19, 2017.
Image: Victoria Monet (33269922475).jpg
Photo: Emma · CC BY-SA 2.0 · Resized for web display; displayed with responsive cropping.
What the live version changes—and what the room cannot prove
Adele performing in Nashville during Adele Live 2016, October 16, 2016.
Image: Adele 'Adele Live 2016' - Nashville DSC04694 (29780219414).jpg
Photo: Kristopher Harris from Charlotte, NC · CC BY 2.0 · Resized for web display; displayed with responsive cropping.
FINNEAS won for production and songwriting. Those are two conversations.
FINNEAS performing at Laneway Festival in Sydney, February 5, 2023.
Image: Finneas (53775567631).jpg
Photo: Bruce Baker from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0 · Resized for web display; displayed with responsive cropping.
A favorite can be the best pick and still be more likely to lose
Emma Stone speaking at WonderCon in Anaheim, March 17, 2012.
Image: Emma Stone (7001663171).jpg
Photo: Gage Skidmore from Peoria, AZ, United States of America · CC BY-SA 2.0 · Resized for web display; displayed with responsive cropping.
Two trophies do not always mean two independent signals
Cillian Murphy at the Toronto International Film Festival in September 2025.
Image: CillianMurphy-TIFF2025-01.png
Photo: JoshPopov · CC BY 4.0 · Resized for web display; displayed with responsive cropping.
Your front-runner lost. Keep the evidence, revise the explanation.
Glenn Close joins C. C. H. Pounder, Cathy Cahlin Ryan and Shawn Ryan at the 65th Annual Peabody Awards in New York, June 5, 2006.
Image: C. C. H. Pounder, Glenn Close, Cathy Cahlin Ryan and Shawn Ryan, June 2006 (1).jpg
Photo: Peabody Awards · CC BY 2.0 · Resized for web display; displayed with responsive cropping.
Build an awards watchlist that still feels like your own
Celine Song speaking at the 2026 Sundance Film Festival Awards.
Image: Celine Song at 2026 Sundance Film Festival Awards 04.jpg
Photo: Jennifer 8. Lee · CC BY-SA 4.0 · Resized for web display; displayed with responsive cropping.